Maelius, a notable market analyst, identifies the ideal selling strategy for XRP holders, predicting a perfect exit point for the market.
XRP has experienced price volatility since December 2024 alongside the broader crypto market. A strong rebound at the start of 2025 saw Bitcoin break the $100,000 mark, allowing XRP to climb to $2.5.
However, resistance at these levels led to a price retracement. By Jan. 7, Bitcoin fell below the $100,000 mark, while XRP dropped 6% to $2.3. Despite this consolidation, analysts remain optimistic about XRP’s potential for further growth, though opinions vary on the extent of the next surge.
XRP Slipping into Wave 3
Prominent market analyst Maelius recently shared his take on XRP’s price trajectory and outlined selling levels for investors. Maelius noted that XRP’s historical price movements tend to be rapid, with brief corrections.
According to him, the asset typically exits accumulation phases in two swift waves, separated by one correction. This often attracts retail investors during the second wave, many of whom buy at greater prices.
He further explains that XRP’s third wave (W3) often leads to an extensive shakeout phase that eliminates weaker retail hands. This prepares the market for a final move, which typically coincides with a peak in media attention and retail interest.
The analyst’s chart suggests XRP has now slipped into this cycle’s wave 3, after completing wave 2 on the back of the early November to December 2024 upsurge. Citing historical comparisons, he predicts that XRP could reach $10 in the current W3 phase.
XRP Targets $10-$13
Maelius then linked XRP’s price potential to its market dominance (XRP.D). He suggests that dominance is close to a resistance zone that historically has limited XRP’s market share. In past cycles, XRP dominance peaked during W3, but further gains faced roadblocks in subsequent moves.
Assuming the total cryptocurrency market cap grows from the current $3.5 trillion mark to $6.2 trillion (a 2.618 Fibonacci level), Maelius estimates XRP’s price at $4.3, if XRP.D remains stable. For context, XRP market dominance currently sits at 3.9%.
TOTAL Crypto Market Cap | Maelius
However, if XRP dominance grows further to reach the lower end of its resistance zone (around 12%), XRP could hit $13. Meanwhile, hitting the upper resistance level implies a price of $26, though Maelius believes this is highly unlikely.
XRP Market Dominance | Maelius
Ideal Selling Strategy
Maelius noted the importance of having a good exit strategy. He advises selling a major portion of holdings as XRP approaches $10-$13 during W3. While the possibility of XRP reaching $26 exists, the analyst warns that risk-reward ratios diminish as prices go parabolic.
He also highlights the potential for XRP to underperform the broader market once its dominance reaches resistance levels. At press time, XRP changes hands at $2.30, up 1.59% today. From this level, the asset would need to rally 334%-465% to reach the W3 targets of $10-$13.
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