Ethereum continues to face challenges as it struggles to reclaim the $3,500 level, a critical threshold for reaching $4,000.
Worsening market conditions are compounding the altcoin’s difficulties, reducing the likelihood of a near-term recovery and leaving investors uncertain about the price trajectory.
Ethereum Losses Mount
Recent Ethereum network transactions have been dominated by losses rather than profits. Many investors are panic selling their holdings, particularly short-term ones, in an attempt to secure gains or reinvest during dips. However, these actions often result in missed opportunities, exacerbating the downturn.
This behavior highlights the broader lack of confidence among investors. The tendency to exit positions prematurely is contributing to increased volatility, making it harder for Ethereum to regain its footing and stabilize above crucial support levels.
Ethereum Transactions in Profit/Loss. Source: Santiment
Ethereum’s Liveliness indicator is at a two-year high, signaling significant activity among long-term holders (LTHs). This metric increases when LTHs liquidate their holdings, which is typically a bearish sign for price stability.
The continued rise in Liveliness despite declining prices indicates that LTHs are prioritizing profit-taking over supporting recovery. Such behavior undermines market confidence and puts additional pressure on Ethereum’s price, potentially leading to further declines.
Ethereum Liveliness. Source: Glassnode
ETH Price Prediction: Breaking Resistance
Ethereum is currently priced at $3,402, holding above the support of $3,327 but failing to break the $3,524 resistance. This consolidation has persisted for nearly two weeks, reflecting the uncertainty in the market and the lack of strong bullish signals.
Given the prevailing conditions, Ethereum is likely to continue consolidating or experience a drop. A decline could push the altcoin to test the $3,000 level, extending the losses for investors and delaying any significant recovery.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView
Alternatively, flipping $3,524 into support could invalidate the bearish outlook. Achieving this milestone would pave the way for Ethereum to reach $3,721, allowing the cryptocurrency to recover losses and restore confidence among its holders.
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