Hedera (HBAR) price is showing signs of life after a brutal downtrend, but the question on every investor’s mind is whether this is a dead cat bounce or the beginning of a bullish reversal. A closer look at the daily and hourly charts reveals important clues. Let’s break down the technicals, price structure, and what’s likely to come next for HBAR price.
Hedera Price Prediction: What Does the Daily Chart Say?
HBAR/USD 1 Day Chart- TradingView
The daily chart shows that Hedera price has been in a persistent downtrend since mid-May, with lower highs and lower lows clearly in play. Price is currently holding near $0.154, barely above a key horizontal support around $0.150. This support has held twice this month, acting as a psychological base. If it breaks, downside targets open up toward $0.140 and even $0.125 in an aggressive selloff scenario.
The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) has crossed below the 50-day SMA, confirming bearish momentum. Currently, the 20 SMA sits near $0.170, far above the HBAR price, which confirms a steep deviation. A mean reversion bounce to this level would equate to a 10.38% upside from current prices:
Calculation:
Potential bounce = (0.17026 − 0.15435) / 0.15435 × 100 = 10.32%
This is not impossible, but it would require a reversal candle and high volume which is currently missing.
Hedera Price Prediction: Hourly Chart Shows Stabilization, Not Reversal Yet
HBAR/USD 1 Hr Chart- TradingView
On the hourly chart, we observe a different story. After a steep fall from $0.165, the Hedera price consolidated between $0.150 and $0.155. Multiple hammer candles have appeared on the lower time frame around $0.150, suggesting short-term accumulation.
Moving averages on the hourly chart (20/50/100/200 SMA) show clear bearish alignment, with price struggling to break above the 50 SMA ($0.156). Until HBAR price closes an hourly candle above $0.156, any bullish case remains unconfirmed.
A short-term bullish scenario would involve reclaiming $0.156 and pushing toward $0.161 (near the 100 SMA), offering a quick 4.28% upside:
Calculation:
Upside potential = (0.16105 − 0.15435) / 0.15435 × 100 = 4.35%
On the downside, failure to hold $0.150 would likely trigger a drop to $0.145 and possibly $0.140.
Key Resistance and Support Levels
From both charts, we can extract key levels. The nearest resistance sits at $0.156, followed by a strong zone at $0.161–0.165. These are previous breakdown levels and also where the hourly 100 SMA and pivot point reside. Support is clearly defined at $0.150, and if that breaks, then $0.140 becomes the next important zone.
HBAR Price Prediction: Is HBAR Preparing for a Bounce?
While short-term indicators show some exhaustion of the selling pressure, there is no definitive bullish reversal pattern yet. The Heikin Ashi candles on the daily chart still show red bodies with no wicks to the top, which is a clear continuation signal. However, if the daily closes with a doji or bullish engulfing in the next 24–48 hours, HBAR price could attempt a bounce.
HBAR Price Prediction: What’s Next for HBAR?
If Hedera price holds above $0.150 and reclaims $0.156 in the next 12–24 hours, we could see a move to $0.165. This would offer a modest recovery of around 7%–8%. However, if $0.150 fails, the selloff could resume, sending price toward $0.140 or even $0.125.
Based on volatility compression and long-tailed candles near support, the probability of a short-term bounce is around 60%, but sustainability is in question due to bearish moving average structure.
Final Thoughts
HBAR price is at a make-or-break level. If bulls can protect $0.150 and reclaim $0.156 quickly, a short-term recovery is likely. However, the trend remains bearish on the daily timeframe until the Hedera price reclaims the 50-day SMA above $0.170. Conservative traders should wait for confirmation, while aggressive ones may look for low-leverage long setups above $0.156 with tight stops below $0.150. For now, HBAR price is trading on thin ice. Stay alert—any break of structure could lead to a sharp move in either direction.
$HBAR, $Hedera
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