Renowned cryptocurrency analysis firm Alphractal has released its latest market assessment, drawing attention to a striking pattern in Bitcoin’s price movements.
The company recently explained that Bitcoin has been following a four-year fractal cycle since 2015. According to Alphractal, this cycle consists of four distinct phases: accumulation, increase (uptrend), distribution, and a bear market (downtrend) that lasts about a year. The precision of this model has made it “extraordinarily accurate,” effectively predicting the tops and bottoms of each cycle.
Based on the ongoing cycle, Alphractal predicts that the next cycle top will occur between October 12-16, 2025, approximately 11 months from now. Following this, a potential bottom is expected between October 4-14, 2026.
The firm argues that Bitcoin is currently in the bullish phase of the cycle, a period characterized by growth and opportunity. “We are still in the middle of the bullish phase, with months of potential growth and opportunity ahead,” the statement said.
Alphractal emphasized the importance of fractal analysis, a methodology rooted in academic research and widely applied to financial markets. They argue that Bitcoin is a “unique and fascinating case” for this methodology, exhibiting a level of predictability rarely seen in volatile markets.
*This is not investment advice.
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